Despite the disappointing result at Brighton, West Ham can take heart from their consistency at London Stadium.
The Hammers have battled a crippling injury list to lose just one of their eight home matches under David Moyes, taking five points from their last three in the league.
And with Watford failing to win any of their last seven away games, Moyes’ side are a good bet to at least avoid defeat.
There have been goals at both ends in the hosts’ last four league encounters on home soil, and a repeat is worth backing today.
After a poor December and January, the Hornets rediscovered their scoring boots in the superb 4-1 win over Chelsea on Monday, with on-loan Barcelona winger Gerard Deulofeu impressing.
But while the visitors didn’t concede in their last away game at Stoke, they still have plenty to prove defensively, having failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their previous eleven matches on the road.
The Hammers player most likely to do the damage is Javier Hernandez.
Having survived the injury epidemic that has hit his fellow attackers, Chicharito’s improvement has been key in West Ham’s steady accumulation of points.
The Mexican netted his second goal in four matches at Brighton last weekend, and used his intelligence inside the 18-yard box to win a penalty in the last home match against Crystal Palace.
Moyes can rely on him to do the business again.